Tensions escalated between China and Taiwan this week following the Pacific island nation of Nauru switching diplomatic ties from Taiwan to China. The move came just two days after Taiwan’s presidential election, won decisively by incumbent Tsai Ing-wen. China considers Tsai’s party to support Taiwan’s independence.
Nauru Cuts Longtime Ties with Taiwan
Nauru’s president announced his country will adhere to China’s “one-China principle” and cease formal relations with Taiwan. With a population of only 12,500, Nauru relies heavily on overseas development assistance, leading to speculation China offered economic incentives in exchange for recognition.
For Taiwan, losing allies like Nauru holds both practical and symbolic significance. Now only 12 small developing states maintain official ties with Taiwan against Chinese opposition. Since 2016, Beijing has swayed 5 of Taiwan’s friends to isolate Tsai, whose party China despises as separatists.
The timing also carries meaning, as Nauru switched right after Tsai’s landslide reelection over a more Beijing-friendly challenger. This signals China will continue hardline efforts to coerce Taiwan’s democratic wishes.
Economic and Military Pressure
Angered by Tsai’s victory, China swiftly banned certain Taiwanese imports and restricted tourism. Such economic pressure intends to strain Taiwan’s economy and breed anti-Tsai sentiment.
Militarily, China sailed its new aircraft carrier through the Taiwan Strait post-election, escalating habitual shows of force. Chinese jets also frequently menace Taiwan’s air defense zone, increasing chances of accidental conflict.
Wrapping Up
While condemning Nauru’s decision as profoundly misguided, President Tsai must carefully assert Taiwan’s interests while avoiding open war with the region’s military superpower.
Unless China accepts Taiwan’s democratic sovereignty, instability seems inevitable. The U.S. remains Taiwan’s main informal ally against potential Chinese aggression.
